While collecting more
signatures for our Registered Reports campaign, I spent some time arguing
with people on the internet – something that I don’t normally do. Internet
arguments, as well as most arguments in real life, tend to be about people with
opposing views shouting at each other, then going away without changing their
opinions in the slightest. I’m no exception: nothing of what people on the
internet told me so far convinced me that registered reports are a bad idea.
But as their arguments kept repeating, I decided to write a blog post with my
counter-arguments. I hope that laying out my arguments and counter-arguments in
a systematic manner will be more effective in showing what exactly we want to
achieve, and why we think that registered reports are the best way to reach
these goals. And, if nothing else, I can refer people on the internet to this
blog post rather than reiterating my points in the future.
What do we actually want?
For a registered report, the
authors write the introduction and methods section, as well as a detailed
analysis plan, and submit the report to a journal, where it undergoes peer
review. Once the reviewers are happy with the proposed methods (i.e., they
think the methods give the authors the biggest chance to obtain interpretable
results), the authors get conditional acceptance, and can go ahead with data
collection. The paper will be published regardless of the results. Registered Reports is not synonymous with Preregistration: For the latter, you also write a report before collecting the data, but rather than submitting it to a journal for peer review, you upload a time-stamped, non-modifiable version of the report, and include a link to it in the final report.
The registered reports format is
not suited for all studies, and at this point, it is worth stressing that we
don’t want to ban the publishing of any study which is not pre-registered. This
is an important point, because it is my impression that at least 90% of the
criticisms of registered reports assume that we want them to be the only
publication format. So, once again: We merely want journals to offer the possibility
to submit registered reports, alongside with the traditional formats that they
already offer. Exploratory studies or well-powered multi-experiment studies
offer a lot of insights, and banning them and publishing only registered reports
would be a very stupid idea. Among the supporters of registered reports that
I’ve met, I don’t think a single one would disagree with me on this account.
Having said this, I think there are
studies for which the majority of people (scientists and the general public
alike) would really prefer for registered reports and pre-registration to be
the norm. I guess that very few people would be happy to take some medication,
when the only study supporting its effectiveness is a non-registered trial
conducted by the pharmaceutical company that sells this drug, and shows that it
totally works and has absolutely no side effects. In my research area, some
researchers (or pseudo-researchers) occasionally produce a “cure” for dyslexia,
for example in the form of a video game that supposedly trains some cognitive
skill that is supposedly deficient in dyslexia. This miracle cure then gets
sold for a lot of money, thus taking away both time and money from children
with dyslexia and their parents. For studies showing the effectiveness of such
“cures”, I think it would be justifiable, from the side of the parents, as well
as the tax payers who fund the research, to demand that such studies are
pre-registered.
To reiterate: Registered reports
should absolutely not be the only publication format. But when it comes to
making important decisions based on research, we should be as sure as possible
that the research is replicable. In my ideal world, one should conduct a
registered study before marketing a product or basing a policy on a result.
Aren’t there better ways to achieve a sound and reproducible
psychological science?
Introducing the possibility of
publishing registered reports also by no means suggests that other ways of
addressing the replication crisis are unnecessary. Of course, it’s important
that researchers understand methodological and statistical issues that can lead
to a result being non-replicable or irreproducible. Open data and analysis
scripts are also very important. If researchers treated a single experiment as
a brick in the wall rather than a source of the absolute truth, if there was no
selective publication of positive results, if there was transparency and data
sharing, and researchers would conduct incremental studies that would be
regularly synthesised in the form of meta-analyses, registered reports might
indeed be unnecessary. But until we achieve such a utopia, registered reports
are arguably the fastest way to work towards a replicable and reproducible
science. Perhaps I’m wrong here: I’m more than happy to be convinced that I am.
If there is a more efficient way to reduce publication bias, p-hacking, and HARKing, I will reduce
the amount of time I spend pushing for registered reports, and start supporting
this more efficient method instead.
Don’t registered reports take away the power from the authors?
As an author, you submit your study
before you even collect the data. Some people might perceive it as unpleasant
to get their study torn to pieces by reviewers before it’s even finished.
Others worry that reviewers and editors get more power to stop studies that
they don’t want to see published. The former concern, I guess, is a matter of
opinion. As far as I’m concerned, the more feedback I get before I collect
data, the more likely it will be that any flaws in the study will be picked up.
Yes, I don’t love being told that I designed a stupid study, but I hate even
more when I conduct an experiment only to be told (or realise myself) that it’s
totally worthless because I overlooked some methodological issue. Other people
may be more confident in their ability to design a good study, which is fine:
They don’t have to submit their studies as registered reports if they don’t
want to.
As for the second point: Imagine
that you submit a registered report, and the editor or one of the reviewers
says: “This study should not be conducted unless the authors use my/my friend’s
measurement of X.” In this way, the argument goes, the editor has the power to
influence not only what kind of studies get published, but even what kind of
studies are being conducted. Except, if many journals publish registered
reports, the authors can simply submit their registered report to a different
journal, if they think that the reviewer’s or editor’s request is driven by
politics rather than scientific considerations. This is why I’m trying to
encourage as many journals as possible to start offering registered reports.
Besides, if we compare this to the
current situation, I would argue that the power that editors and reviewers have
would either diminish or stay the same. It doesn’t matter how many studies get
conducted, if (as in the current system) many of them get rejected on the basis
of “they don’t fit my/my friend’s pet theory”. Let’s say I want to test
somebody’s pet theory, or replicate some important result. In my experience, original
authors genuinely believe in their work: chances are, they will be supportive
during the planning stage of the experiment. Things might look different if the
results are already in, and the theory is not supported: then, they often try
to find any reason to convince the editor that the study is flawed and that the
authors are incompetent.
As an example, let’s imagine the
worst case scenario: You want to replicate Professor X’s ground-breaking study,
but you don’t know that Professor X actually fabricated the data. It’s in
Professor X’s interest to prevent any replication of this original study,
because it would likely show that it’s not replicable. As the replicator, you
can submit a registered report to journal after journal after journal, and it
is likely that Professor X will be asked to review it. Sure, it’s annoying, but
at some stage you’re likely to either find an editor who looks through
Professor X’s strategy, or Professor X will be too busy to review. Either way,
I don’t see how this is different from the usual game of
get-your-study-published-in-the-highest-possible-IF-journal that we all know
and love in the traditional publication system.
And, if you really can’t get your
registered report accepted and you think it’s for political reasons, you can
still conduct the study. I will bet that the final version of the study, with
the data and conclusion, will be even more difficult to publish than the
registered report. But at least you’ll be able to publish it as a preprint,
which would be an extremely valuable addition to the literature.
I’m still not convinced.
That’s fine – we can agree to
disagree. I would be very happy if you could add any further arguments against
registered reports in the comments section below, that cannot be countered by the
following points:
(1) Other publication formats
should continue to be available, even if registered reports become the norm for
some types of studies, and
(2) Definitely, we need to continue
working on other ways to improve the replication crisis, such as improving statistics
courses for undergraduate and graduate psychology programs.
I think that registered reports are a good idea. What can I do to support registered
reports?*
I’m very happy to hear that! See here
(about writing letters to editors) and here
(being a signatory on an open letter and letters to editors).
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* I wish this was a FAQ...
Edit (1.8.2019): In response to a comment, I've added a sentence about preregistration, and how it differs from RRs.
Edit (1.8.2019): In response to a comment, I've added a sentence about preregistration, and how it differs from RRs.
Many excellent points. For what it's worth, the only reason I haven't added RRs to Psych Science (except in the context of Preregisterered Direct Replications, for which RRs are strongly encouraged) is that I am already stretched. One very minor complaint RE this post: The statement "The registered reports format is not suited for all studies, and...we don’t want to ban the publishing of any study which is not pre-registered" reinforces the confusion between RRs and preregistration. They are not the same, and in my view preregistration (i.e., creating a permanent record of one's plans for a research project before carrying out the project) is more fundamental.
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